Tulsa vs Rice 10/22/2011

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Tulsa is a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat Rice. JaTerian Douglas is projected for 67 rushing yards and a 46% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28% of simulations where Rice wins, Taylor McHargue averages 2.08 TD passes vs 0.6 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.09 TDs to 0.79 interceptions. Sam McGuffie averages 47 rushing yards and 0.54 rushing TDs when Rice wins and 42 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. Tulsa has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is RICE +10 --- Over/Under line is 58.5

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